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Covid 19 again  

redmustang91 64M
7764 posts
7/5/2020 4:52 am

Last Read:
7/8/2020 5:40 am

Covid 19 again


I am bored with the virus. Not happy social distance, but it seems necessary.

Recent estimates are that less than 1 percent die from the virus as many more are not counted in the limited testing. Still one percent of 7 billion people in this world is a large number. Winter is coming soon and that may be a bad time get sick.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released data suggesting that for every documented infection in the United States, there were 10 other cases on average that had gone unrecorded, probably because they were very mild or asymptomatic. If there are many more asymptomatic infections than once thought, then the virus may be less deadly than it has appeared.

On Thursday, after the World Health Organization held a two-day online meeting of 1,300 scientists from around the world, the agency’s chief scientist, Dr. Soumya Swaminathan, said the consensus for now was that the I.F.R. is about 0.6 percent — which means that the risk of<b> death </font></b>is less than 1 percent.
0.6 percent of the world’s population is 47 million people, and 0.6 percent of the American population is 2 million people. The virus remains a major threat.

According to data gathered by The New York Times, China had reported 90,294 cases as of Friday and 4,634 deaths, which is a C.F.R. of 5 percent. The United States was very close to that mark. It has had 2,811,447 cases and 9,403 deaths, about 4.6 percent. Those percentages are far higher rates than the 2.5 percent<b> death </font></b>rate often ascribed the 1918 flu pandemic.

New evidence that people with Type A blood are more likely fall deathly ill could change risk calculations.

Those researchers looked at 267 studies in more than a dozen countries, and then chose the 25 they considered the most accur weighting them for accuracy and averaged the data. They concluded that the global I.F.R. was 0.64 percent. arrive at the C.D.C.’s new estim researchers tested samples from 11,933 people for antibodies the coronavirus in regions in the United States. New York City reported 53,803 cases by April 1, but the actual number of infections was times higher — nearly 642,000, the agency estimated.

In each of the eight influenza pandemics the United States since 63, a relatively mild first wave — no matter what time of year it arrived — was followed by a larger, much more lethal wave a few months later, noted Michael T. Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota.

More than a third of the people killed by the Spanish flu, which lasted from March 1918 late 1920, died in the short stretch between September and December 1918 — about months after a first, relatively mild version of what may have been the same virus broke out in western Kansas.

People are tired of the restrictions, but infections may get much worse as the weather gets cold and people spend more time indoors in close proximity.

redmustang91 64M
9760 posts
7/5/2020 4:55 am

For many Covid 19 is no big deal. Over 90 percent of the deaths are over 65 with two or more health issues. But then someone healthy age 20 to 35 just dies for no clear reason. Russian roulette with a virus bullet.


saturn1019 63M
16 posts
7/5/2020 6:02 am

Fatality rates for viruses are a tricky thing to really nail down. It is entirely possible that there were a large number of deaths in the early months of this pandemic that were simply never listed as Covid-19 related. Further, the fear of going to hospitals out of risk of infection could account for numerous deaths that have also never been attributed to the Corona Virus.

An interesting parallel is the Human Immunodeficiency Virus, which ultimately causes an extreme breakdown of the body's natural defenses, aka AIDS. However, no one really ever dies from the virus. They die from various opportunitstic infections, frequently triggered by the onset of Kaposi's Sarcoma. That is a rare form of cancer that prior to the 80's generally only struck middle aged men around the Mediterranean Sea. Twenty years later, the victims would die of old age, or something other than the cancer, but it was never that big of a problem in itself until young gay men started contracting it back in the early 80's. So determining what the real cause of death is where a virus is involved can not only be difficult, but is frequently shaded by political influences and pressures.


pocogato12 71F  
37235 posts
7/5/2020 7:01 am

The California age map shows the biggest group to be 18-49 and in my opinion that is the group that scorned masks and distancing. The beach goers, the crowd lovers. It seems that there are still a cast amount of people who remain " stupid" and do not want to learn and absorb just how wide spread this is and how they could have helped restrain it.

(Virtual Symposium Group) use Virtual Symposium Group


redmustang91 64M
9760 posts
7/8/2020 5:40 am

The group under 50 usually survives Covid 19 infection. But some younger victims do die. Not a chance I would want to take with my life.


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